@mchain Thank you for all the good information.
The Microsoft installer is downloaded directly from the aforementioned site, and Avast scans the installer as clean.
Once the installer runs, it downloads Microsoft OneNote. Although scanning the site from where the installer came can be helpful, it does not provide any scan of what the Microsoft OneNote installer actually downloads. The Avast realtime shields should be able to scan that data, and they report the malware previously mentioned (Avast calls it a “virus”, but that seems to be inaccurate terminology by Avast, as I think they really mean “some type of malware”).
So the possibilities are:
- Someone has broken into the Microsoft servers and placed malware on their servers that download executable software onto potentially millions of computers. This would be a huge discovery.
- MITM attack.
- Avast is in error.
After hours of deliberation, and not receiving enough feedback here or from Avast, we went ahead and let the installation continue. Afterwards, we performed a full scan with Avast. It did not turn up anything. We then performed a boot time scan with Avast. That did not turn up anything either. We then performed a full scan with Windows Defender. That did not find anything wrong either.
We made full system images before and after, as well as a complete copy of the registry and file structure. We may do some comparisons to see what changed during the install.
It looks like it is an Avast false positive, but there really is no way to know without more data. Feedback directly from Avast will be greatly appreciated. If some other people give it a try, it will provide more useful data. Of course, if Avast figures out it was their error, they will update the definitions. For this reason, it is best if anyone willing to give it a try does so sooner rather than later.
The sad part of all this is that a simple install of a popular Microsoft Office application has now taken over 7 hours of time for two people, likely due to an error in the Avast definitions. I suppose it is inevitable to have false positives, but the cost in wasted time is significant and, honestly, frustrating.
On the other hand, it is possible that there is a serious virus threat from downloading this popular Microsoft product, and that this threat is so advanced that Avast was only able to detect it initially, and does not have the ability to detect it once it is installed.